July 1, 1995 (version 1.01)
Donna L. Hoffman & Thomas P. Novak
Time magazine published an exclusive story reported on
the cover on Marty Rimm's published, yet not peer-reviewed, undergraduate research project concerning descriptions of images on adult BBSs in the United
States . Given the vast array of
conceptual, logical, and methodological flaws in the Rimm study,
(documented in Hoffman & Novak's " A Detailed Analysis
of the Conceptual, Logical, and Methodological Flaws in the Article
'Marketing Pornography on the Information Superhighway'"), at least some of which Time magazine was aware of prior to
publication), Time magazine behaved irresponsibly in accepting statements
made by Rimm in his manuscript at face value. At the least, Time magazine should have sought the detailed
opinions of objective experts as to the validity of the study. Time further compounded this error by making other erroneous
statements about the nature of pornography in "cyberspace," and in some
cases, even misinterpreted Rimm's results. Below we detail the numerous
errors in the Time magazine article.
p. 38, 3rd graf p. 38, 4th graf p. 38, 4th graf p. 38, 5th graf TIME then supports this quote by saying that
"917,410 sexually explicit pictures, descriptions, short stories and film
clips" were "surveyed." However, the 917,410 files do not
represent porn online, as all of these 917,410 images came from "adult"
BBSs. None of these 917,410 files came
from Usenet or the Internet. Rimm states that of the 917,410
"descriptive listings," 450,620 with complete download information came
from 68 different "adult" BBSs, 75,000 with partial download information
came from 6 different "adult" BBSs, and 391,790 with no download
information came from 27 different "adult" BBSs.
Further, of the 917,410 files, all text and audio
files were deleted from analysis, only a very small
number of images were actually examined, and the actual number of descriptions of images
retained for the content analysis on which the study's conclusions are
based was 292,114.
In comparison with the 917,410 pornographic files
located on the adult BBSs, how many pornographic images did Rimm locate on
the Usenet? Rimm states: "Between April and July of 1994, the research
team downloaded all available images (3254)...the team encountered
technical difficulties with 13% of these images, which were incorrectly
encoded or incorrectly uploaded by the poster. This left a total of 2830
images for analysis." Thus, while 917,410 pornographic files were found on
adult BBSs, only 2830 pornographic images were found on the Usenet! In addition, out of 11,576 World Wide Web sites in December
1994, Rimm found only nine Web sites, which is only eight one-hundreths of
one percent, contained R or X-rated Adult Visual Material. Time's
statement that "there is an awful lot of porn online" is thus blatantly
misleading and irresponsible.
p. 38, 5th graf To make matters worse, Rimm overgeneralizes his
results in his summary (p 1914): "83.5% of all images posted on the Usenet
are pornographic." This is a particularly misleading misinterpretation.
p. 38,40, 6th graf p. 40,first full graf p. 40, third full graf p. 40, fourth full graf p. 40, first column, last graf p. 40, second column, first full graf p. 40, second column, 3rd full graf p. 42, third column, second full graf p. 42, third column, fourth full graf p. 42, third column, last graf Curiously, Rimm has been surprisingly uninterested
in making the study available to such experts. The study was embargoed for at least six months prior to
publication in the Georgetown Law Journal. Scholarly researchers who
requested a copy of the manuscript from Rimm were refused access to the
manuscript prior to publication.
p. 43, top graf
Associate Professors of Management
Co-Directors,
Permisson to repost is granted. Copyright (c) 1995 retained by
Hoffman and Novak.
The Rimm study is not "an
exhaustive study of online porn - what's available, who is downloading it,
what turns them on..." The Rimm study is instead an
unsophisticated analysis of descriptions of pornographic images on selected adult BBSs in the United
States. The study findings cannot be
generalized beyond this narrow domain.
TIME says the study "tells us
about what's happening on the computer networks, [and] also what it tells
us about ourselves." This statement is misleading, because the study tells
us only what happens on selected private adult BBSs in the United States
and can only generalize to those networks and those individuals using those
networks.
TIME quotes Rimm as saying, "We
now know what the consumers of computer pornography really look at in the
privacy of their own homes," ... "And we're finding a fundamental shift in
the kinds of images they demand." However, the study does not reveal what consumers look at in
their own homes (or anywhere else). The study did not examine consumer behavior, but aggregate download
counts of descriptive listings of images available on adult BBSs.
Although download patterns would be
expected to correlate with viewing, we do not know the extent to which
individuals actually *looked* at the images (or, indeed, whether they
looked *at all*). Additionally, the study provides absolutely no evidence
for the statement that there is a "fundamental shift" in demand for certain
types of images.
TIME says, "There's an awful lot
of porn online." But in fact, Rimm's own figures suggest that the amount of
pornography on Usenet and the World Wide Web represents an extremely small
percentage of the total information available on the Internet. TIME
further neglects to clarify this by noting that the vast bulk of Rimm's
study concerns files that reside exclusively on adult BBSs, which is a very
minor portion of "online," and which does not include the Internet.
TIME says that 83.5% of images
in Usenet binaries groups are pornographic; however, this number is simply
incorrect. What Rimm actually wrote (p 1867) was "Among the pornographic
newsgroups, 4206 image posts were counted, or 83.5% of the total posts." This is based upon 17 alt.binaries groups that Rimm considered
"pornographic" and 15 alt.binaries groups that Rimm considered
"non-pornographic." However, Rimm does not provide a listing of the names
of these groups, so there is no objective evidence of whether these groups
are, in fact, "pornographic." Also, no information is provided on the
degree to which these 32 groups comprise the complete universe of Usenet
imagery. Further, as the methodology for
counting the number of images is not specified, it is likely that even given Rimm's definitions and selection
of 32 groups, the percentage is inflated due to the inclusion of
non-pornographic text comments and multi-part images in the counts.
TIME says that '[t]rading in
sexually explicit imagery, according to the report, is now 'one of the
largest (if not the largest) recreational applications of users of computer
networks.'" But there is no evidence for this statement as Rimm's study
does not examine "trading behavior" on Usenet news groups, only aggregate
*postings*.
TIME says that the "great
majority (71%) of the sexual newsgroups surveyed originate from adult"
BBSs, "whose operators are trying to lure customers" to those boards. This
percentage is unsubstantiated as Rimm provides *absolutely no support* for
it. Further, no evidence is presented
that operators are engaged in luring customers to the adult BBSs via Usenet
newsgroups.
TIME says that "there is
some evidence that ... the 1.1% ... women [on BBSs] are paid to hang out on
the 'chat' rooms and bulletin boards to make the patrons feel more
comfortable." But in fact, Rimm provides *no* evidence for this supposition
(nor any credible evidence that there are 1.1% women and 98.9% men).
TIME says that demand in
the adult BBS market is driven by images that "can't be found in the
average magazine rack." Yet, Rimm did not study the
existence, availability or extent of "analog" pornography, so no such
conclusion is warranted, nor possible. Further, Rimm's study, due to
methodological flaws, does not demonstrate the demand
for such images (over and above other types of images) on adult BBSs.
TIME says that
this material appears on a "public network accessible to men, women and
children"
globally, yet as stated above, there is no evidence that material from
private, restricted- access adult BBSs ever makes its way to public
networks like the Internet. In this case, Rimm casually
discusses the method, but not the data the method is supposed to have
generated.
TIME
reports that "only about 3% of all the messages on the Usenet newsgroups
[represent pornographic images], while the Usenet itself represents 11.5%
of the traffic on the Internet." But TIME neglects to take the
interpretation to its logical conclusion, which is that less than 1/2 of 1%
(3% of 11%) of the messages on the Internet are associated with newsgroups
that contain pornographic imagery. Further, of this half percent, an
unknown but even smaller percentage of messages in newsgroups that are
"associated with pornographic imagery" actually contain pornographic
material. Much of the material that is in these newsgroups is simply text
files containing comments by Usenet readers.
TIME
speculates that pornography is "different" on computer networks, and
although the Rimm study suggests this, as well, absolutely no evidence is
presented to support this hypothesis.
TIME
wonders "[h]ow the Carnegie Mellon report will affect...the cyberporn
debate" and notes that "[c]onservatives...will find plenty" of
"ammunition." Yet TIME fails to note that the "Carnegie Mellon report" is in
fact a sole-authored study by an undergraduate student in Electrical
Engineering that was not subjected to the usual rigors of peer-review and
revision that are common for this type of research.
TIME
notes that "1 million or 2 million people who download pictures from the
Internet represent a self-selected group with an interest in erotica." Yet, this 1
to 2 million number is completely fictitious and unsubstantiated because it
is not known *and it is not possible to know* how many people download
pictures from the Internet. Time provides no reference for this figure,
and the figure itself is not mentioned in the Rimm report.
TIME suggests
that Rimm's study will be a "gold mine for psychologists, social
scientists, computer marketers and anybody with an interest in human sexual
behavior." Yet TIME fails to note that it is highly unlikely (at least
without a cover story by Time) that an unsophisticated, poorly executed,
weakly documented study conducted by an undergraduate in
electrical engineering that was not published in a rigorously peer-reviewed scholarly
behavioral science journal would be ever be perceived as a "gold mine" by
experts in these areas.
TIME says that the "more
sophisticated operators were able to adjust their inventory and their
descriptions to match consumer demand," yet the Rimm study provides very
little evidence that this is actually occuring except in isolated
incidents.